Wednesday 2 December 2015

Cocoa, Coffee, Soybeans, Sugar and GBPUSD

All these are part of the December 2015 PDF market report: monthlyPDF@commodity-analysis.co.uk

Cocoa



 Coffee looks promising
 Long Soybeans
 Sugar#11 March 2016
 PF failure + RL's on GBPUSD

Thursday 12 November 2015

Wheat, Gold and GBPUSD

Wheat is in a grinding sideways range and this presents some range trading opportunties.Look at the black lower median line parallel in these screen shots:
This is so you can see the fork ABC
 Look how this is a tried and tested line that supports price
 If we go through lower here the next objective is 475
 arrowed

 OK, Heres Gold and the recent collapse: Can you see where the FNL PF is supporting price today?
 Lastly, Here's cable and a beautiful set of RL's



Monday 9 November 2015

Gold, Sugar #11, EURGBP & long term EURUSD

Here's an update and a few excerpts from the monthly technical market report. There are some interesting questions concerning the ongoing equity bull market and recent rally, The ongoing strength of the US dollar and the commodity price cycle. All of these medium to long term charts indicate possible "tells". We are not trying to pick market bottoms-"people who pick bottoms get dirty fingers" ....however we are looking for indications of trend continuation/exhaustion/congestion etc.
  EURUSD
: Please read background to giant ML PF's here
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/01/eurusd-on-historical-median-line.html
 Gold



  Sugar: http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/07/sugarv15-and-oil-cl-q15-continued.html

Wednesday 7 October 2015

Sugar #11 H16... The big picture

One of the most important considerations when trying to identify and reveal "organic" support and resistance areas is HISTORICAL DATA. If you do not posess it you can buy/download it as a .csv file.
Here is just two of the reasons I identified the $11.00 area as a potential turning point.
1. Historical lower median line parallel ( green)
2. Rising/up sloping reaction line from the same historical PF (ABC). This PF contains 3 of the most significant pivots in the last 25 years.
Here is a link from a July post with the same charts
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/07/sugarv15-and-oil-cl-q15-continued.html





Many opportunties abound. I am not a religious person but having been schooled in England in the 70's ( and this phrase used in a famous telegram from W.S.C to General Wavell in 1941) remember:  
Saint Matthew,Chapter 7,Verse7
"Ask, and it will be given to you, Seek and you will find it, Knock and the door shall be opened for you"

It is the same with chart interpretation.

Tuesday 6 October 2015

Markets to watch: Corn, Gold, Sugar, Wheat, Coffee, Soybean complex... & that's just for starters!

 October Technical PDF excerpts available:
                      " Cycles come and cycles go:
You know the end of the global commodity slump is nigh when....."
For copy please send email with subject field "PDF" to: commodityreport@commodity-analysis.co.uk

For background analysis on these charts please see previous posts or links at the bottom of this post:








For previous links:
 http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/gold-line-that-keeps-on-giving-and-dec.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/continued-gold-line-that-keeps-on.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/gold-and-wheat-z15.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/gold-and-mini-dow-sugar-and-cocoa.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/08/cocoa-and-sugar.html

Wednesday 30 September 2015

Continued: Continued: Gold the line that keeps on giving!




 These charts reveal various issues. The FNL PF can be seen in previous posts since late August but one issue that can be observed is that of line location which changes in each time frame due to scaling issues. Master this problem and you will understand structure and the missing dimension. These are two-D charts Time vs Price yet there is no doubt another value is missing. Take a look at this links:
http://www.nanex.net/CodingNxCore/JTools/JTools_QTSequencer3D/QTSequencer3D_RT.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2014/01/equity-markets-dax-spx-continued-i-will.html

Friday 25 September 2015

Gold continued & Why I am long: Corn Coffee,Cocoa,Wheat,Sugar and soybeans

 Why I am long: Corn Coffee,Cocoa,Wheat,Sugar and soybeans -Yes i said soybeans! (Infact i am long across the soya crush complex beans/oil and meal) and of course gold. Its all about historical ML/RL's.

For previous links:
 http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/gold-line-that-keeps-on-giving-and-dec.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/continued-gold-line-that-keeps-on.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/gold-and-wheat-z15.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/09/gold-and-mini-dow-sugar-and-cocoa.html
http://medianlinetrader.blogspot.fr/2015/08/cocoa-and-sugar.html



 Corn
 Sugar (#11)


 October Technical PDF excerpts available:
                      " Cycles come and cycles go:
You know the end of the global commodity slump is nigh when....."
For copy please send email with subject field "PDF" to: commodityreport@commodity-analysis.co.uk